Nick Bostram on Taking the Future of Humanity Seriously
In the very first part of this 2007 article, Nick Bostram of the Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford writes: Traditionally, the future of humanity has been a topic for…
Definition:
The ‘transhuman transition’ describes the means and phases of change from the current state of homo sapiens (the human condition as we know it in 2019), to drastically altered state of expanded physical and mental capabilities. This likely leads to an eventual transition to completely unimaginable states of being, doing, and understanding (posthuman condition).
I posit that the transhuman transition leaves humanity in a very precarious state. It is the beginning of a great blossoming in the trajectory of intelligence and sentience – and could easily lead to an arms race in AI and neurotechnologies, and an all-out war to define the future of humanity and the trajectory of intelligence itself.
In my article Two Questions, I posit that the human race has two critical questions to answer in the 21st century:
1. What is a beneficial transition beyond humanity?
2. How do we get there from here without destroying ourselves?
Many people argue that the TT is already underway. Brain-machine interfaces are already in place for any humans (albeit in rudimentary forms), and the explosion in research on AI and genomics – plus the redefined ways of life that smartphones and digital technologies have brought about – have already redefined human experience.
One could argue that eyeglasses are augmentations of our bodies, or that written language is an augmentation of our thought. All of these interpretations have credence.
I believe that – barring nuclear war or other global catastrophes – transhumanism is inevitable, whether we believe it to be “good” or “best” or not.
The economic and military advantages (strength) gained from cognitive enhancement and man-machine merger would be massive, leading organizations and nations to push towards TT.
In addition, the default human experience is so laden with suffering (read: The Vessel is Flawed) that human beings will be inevitably drawn towards states of bliss and wellbeing that can only be obtained outside of the normal human condition (i.e. lotus eating).
A handful that come to mind:
Let me count the ways:
Potentially:
Frankly, I think that posthuman intelligence will be necessary to discern higher kinds of “good” to strive for. The best we can do today (which is still pretty good) is to strive to maximize happiness, minimize suffering (utilitarianism), and strive for fairness or other admittedly-arbitrary-but-still-useful hominid ideals of virtue (read: AGI for Finding the Good).
Avoiding an international arms race and determining a globally agreed-upon (probably impossible, let’s say “somewhat globally agreed upon”) set of “preferable” and “non-preferable” future conditions would be the two most important steps.
Something along the lines of:
I’m not saying that those bullets are “right”, but they are, at the time of this writing, my best guess at what a good attempt at a transhuman future would start with.
Aint gunna be easy.
Header image credit: Extreme Tech
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