The Trajectory Problem
Modern AGI discourse simplifies the possible future options into a few options: While I think there is reason to be wary of runaway military AGI wrestling control away from humanity…
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Modern AGI discourse simplifies the possible future options into a few options: While I think there is reason to be wary of runaway military AGI wrestling control away from humanity…
When I talk about the radical transformation of humanity and the grand scenarios around posthuman life, I’m often asked: “Why would you want all of this change?” My answer: I…
“Wow, I can’t wait for AGI! We’re about to be rich! Yay, Santa Claus is coming to town!” This is the sentiment of a child. Naive, irrational, and wholly at…
If humanity is able to achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI), it is unanimously seen as good that humanity should be permitted to do whatever it chooses. For example: Some humans…
“It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it.” – Aristotle Many who would read those words and smile confidently, knowing…
Given a long enough time horizon, all things (individuals, species, forms) die out completely or transform into something else. Lucretius and the second law of thermodynamics concur here. In this…
This is an interview with Joshua Clymer, a technical AI safety researcher at Redwood Research. Before that, he researched AI threat models and developed evaluations for self-improvement capabilities at METR….
In business, blindly assuming you’ll be profitable is a recipe for bankruptcy. In the outdoors, blindly assuming you’ll find water and shelter is a recipe for death. And yet, many…
This is the first episode in our new Early Experience of AGI series – where we explore the subtle signs of AGI’s rise long before its dominance is declared. This…
Since the publication of the Worthy Successor essay in 2023, I’ve been glad to see the enthusiasm around exploring posthuman futures from people in tech and policy (especially on Twitter,…